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Monday, November 01, 2004

On the edge

That adequately describes me now.

Polls all over the place, national and state. Osama show up on TV, and tells the individual U.S. states that they can exempt themselves from his attacks, "Assam the American" threatens blood in the streets, and Kerry polls the populace before he gives a response to the OBL tape.

The results should be Bush big, but the polls don't show it yet. Rasmussen says there was no effect from OBL's sudden arrival.

Despite all of that, here are my predictions:

Popular Vote: Bush 52%, Kerry 47%

Electoral Vote: Bush 306, Kerry 232

Battleground States:
Bush wins Wisconsin, Ohio, Florida, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, West Virginia, Arkansas
Kerry wins Pennsylvania (in a squeaker!), New Hampshire, Michigan, New Jersey, Oregon

No lawsuits. Why? Because if it isn't close, they can't cheat.


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