On the edge
Polls all over the place, national and state. Osama show up on TV, and tells the individual U.S. states that they can exempt themselves from his attacks, "Assam the American" threatens blood in the streets, and Kerry polls the populace before he gives a response to the OBL tape.
The results should be Bush big, but the polls don't show it yet. Rasmussen says there was no effect from OBL's sudden arrival.
Despite all of that, here are my predictions:
Popular Vote: Bush 52%, Kerry 47%
Electoral Vote: Bush 306, Kerry 232
Battleground States:
Bush wins Wisconsin, Ohio, Florida, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, West Virginia, Arkansas
Kerry wins Pennsylvania (in a squeaker!), New Hampshire, Michigan, New Jersey, Oregon
No lawsuits. Why? Because if it isn't close, they can't cheat.
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